Name Those Nominees: How You Voted
By Craig Kennedy - January 21st, 2008; 3:49 pm
In the considered opinion of the readers of Living in Cinema, here is how the Oscar nominations in the major categories will shake out tomorrow morning. The the top 5 vote getters in each category are:
Best Picture
- No Country for Old Men
- There Will Be Blood
- Michael Clayton
- Juno
- The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Best Director
- Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
- Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
- Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
- Sean Penn, Into the Wild
- Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
The rest of your picks and my own after the jump…
Best Actor
- Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
- George Clooney, Michael Clayton
- Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
- Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
- Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Best Actress
- Julie Christie, Away From Her
- Ellen Page, Juno
- Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
- Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
- Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Best Supporting Actor
- Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
- Casey Affleck, Assassination of Jesse James…
- Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
- Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
- Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s War
Best Supporting Actress
- Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There
- Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
- Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
- Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
- Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Best Original Screenplay
- Diablo Cody, Juno
- Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
- Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
- Brad Bird, Ratatouille
- Nancy Oliver, Lars and the Real Girl
Best Adapted Screenplay
- Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
- Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
- Sean Penn, Into the Wild
- Christopher Hampton, Atonement
- Ronald Harwood, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Best Cinematography
- Roger Deakins, Assassination of Jesse James…
- Janusz Kaminski, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
- Robert Elswit, There Will Be Blood
- Roger Deakins, No Country for Old Men
- Seamus McGarvey, Atonement
My picks:
Best Picture
- No Country for Old Men
- There Will Be Blood
- Michael Clayton
- The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
- Into the Wild
Best Director
- Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
- Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
- Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
- Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
- Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Best Actor
- Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
- George Clooney, Michael Clayton
- Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
- Philip Seymour Hoffman, Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
- Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Best Actress
- Julie Christie, Away From Her
- Marion Cotillard, La vie en rose
- Ellen Page, Juno
- Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
- Jodie Foster, The Brave One
Supporting Actor
- Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
- Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
- Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
- Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
- Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men
Best Supporting Actress
- Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
- Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There
- Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
- Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
- Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Original Screenplay
- Diablo Cody, Juno
- Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
- Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
- Nancy Oliver, Lars and the Real Girl
- Judd Apatow, Knocked Up
Adapted Screenplay
- Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
- Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
- Ronald Harwood, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
- Sean Penn, Into the Wild
- James Vanderbilt, Zodiac
Cinematography
- Robert Elswit, There Will Be Blood
- Roger Deakins, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
- Janusz Kaminski, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
- Roger Deakins, No Country for Old Men
- Seamus McGarvey, Atonement
Wow, your lists look more reasonable than many that I’ve seen. Maybe because they’re similar to mine, hehe. Mostly favorites, probably on par for 80%. I like Apatow sneaking in for Knocked Up – either Lars or Ratatouille could get bumped…
Thanks for stopping by, Daniel.
The lists feel good, but it always seems like there are a few surprises. Whenever I try to throw a couple in, I get them wrong and something else is the surprise.
I checked out your predictions, Daniel. They look very reasonable. :-)
And I like that you put an asterisk next to the ones that you think are deserving. Interesting that out of all your best actor predictions you think that only Day-Lewis and Hirsch are worthy.
As a huge fan of The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, I was pleased to see an asterisk next to it. :-)
ok, so my total: 32/45 (blegh)
But together, we rule! 39/45, and 3 categories predicted exactly!
Laura Linney for The Savages! And I predicted her, too.
VIGGO! (that’s an exclamation of joy.)
Out of sheer competitiveness I counted for Craig, too…He had 34/45, though, if I count correctly, so I take off my hat.
I guessed right that Into the Wild was going to shafted out of most of the major awards but Reitman for Director and Surf’s Up for Animated? Jones for Elah? Brad Bird’s script for Ratatouille?
The Academy never ceases to amaze me with unexpected choices.
I think Jones for ELAH is really a vote for Jones for No Country for Old Men. Much like Hoffman for WILSON is a vote for Hoffman in everything.
Very true, Chuck. Although Jones was excellent in Elah.
Nobody guessed Reitman, or Sarah Polley for Adapted Screenplay or TLJ for Elah.
I stiffed Atonement in my picks and Atonement stiffed me right back.
I thought either Diving Bell or Into the Wild were vulnerable but I didn’t think both Atonement and Juno would get in…though there’s no reason why not.
Top 5 contest winners are in the latest post. Nick was the winner.
Juno was a lot stronger than many of us thought.
The Academy has spoken: PENGUINS ARE THE NEW BLACK.
Seriously, SURF’S UP!?!?!?!??
I can’t get over it.
As for Juno, Reitman was the dark horse favorite for director that I saw folks whispering about yesterday but I don’t think anyone expected Into the Wild to get so wildly shafted.
SURF’S UP!?!?!?
Sorry, I had a moment there. Curious that Jones gets in for Elah, because he was the best part of that movie but this just means Bardem is an even stronger candidate for Supporting Actor now.
I worried all along that I just had a mental block against it.
Jones was excellent in Elah. He deserves that lead actor nomination, and I would go as far as to say that he might be the one to give Day-Lewis a run for his money.
“Juno was a lot stronger than many of us thought.”
Not me. I didn’t see the Reitman director nom coming, but I thought it was in like flint for everything else. And I still think it has a shot at actually winning. I just can’t for the life of me envision an Oscar ceremony in which Blood or No Country wins. And Michael Clayton seems to be the movie this year where the nomination was surprise and award enough, I think its between Atonement and Juno.
Though Wright didn’t even get nominated. Maybe no Atonement. I’m leaning Juno then.
Yeah, I think Juno is much stronger than we all thought. It could very well win.
Juno may be leading the buzz right now, but queue the month of backlash in 5,4,3,2,1…
When does the voting end? That will really determine what’s happening at the awards. Juno could gain a lot of momentum but I keep thinking all these Juno conversations sound awfully reminiscent of the Little Miss Sunshine talk not so long ago.
If it wins, I will be eating those words. And a little disapppointed.
Alison, you’re right about Jones. He is a good choice for actor, especially for Elah, and he does contend now to upset Lewis.
Don’t quote me on this because it’s probably not true, but I recall last year some guy on HE trumpeting a statistic that only once or twice in the history of the academy had a film won Best Picture without also receiving an Editing nomination. This year the only two BP candidates who got Editing noms were NCfOM and TWBB…too bad they’re going to cancel each other out.
Just curious why you’re pronouncing Michael Clayton DOA already Chuck. I still like its chances as well as any.
I don’t know Craig. I sort of don’t understand why Michael Clayton heated up so much at the very end of the derby anyway. I liked the film, a lot actually, but its esteem seems to be picked out of a hat. I figured it was the glad to be there nominee but that might be Atonement.
I wasn’t arguing exactly, just wondering if you were thinking about something I’d overlooked.
Clayton, Atonement and Juno all seem like pretty conventional Academy picks. If you’d told me 6 months ago that NCfOM and TWBB would lead the nominations I would’ve just laughed.
Michael Clayton is a more conventional pick, but it has Clooney and Gilroy involved which makes it a strong contender. It’s also a DRAMA, which automatically makes it a stronger contender than Juno. But you have to factor in the momentum and I think Clayton’s is down-shifting where as Juno’s is very strong right now.
I don’t know. This is going to be one of the hardest Oscar pools I’ve ever undertaken. There’s what I want to win (many choices in every category) versus what I think will win (at least two choices in nearly every category).
Even the technical categories are hard to call this year.
Craig, that editing thing is significant. People talk about that all the time. Films that don’t get AMPAS editing noms very rarely win BP. Almost never. I don’t know the exact stats but there’s been a lot of discussion about that.
Apparently it’s almost as significant as winning BP without a Directors nod. Shakepeare In Love did it. Driving Miss Daisy did it. But those are the only films in the last 20 years to pull that off.
BP winners that don’t have editing or directors noms are exceedingly rare. Hardly ever happens.
Well, well, my little darling Juno pulled through! The Reitman nom is surprising. I am so glad for Laura Linney!
In the minor categories, my predix were way off, I mean Norbit? Hello!
Glad to see 3:10 To Yuma getting love, great to see.
Sad about Zodiac though, Away From Her stole it’s spot…well not “stole” because Polley wrote a magnificent screenplay.
Yeah, I agree, Nick. Norbit over Sweeney Todd or Diving Bell? Weird.
Serena, I’m leery of seemingly aribtrary ‘rules’ when it comes to Oscar. They’re the kinds of things that are made to be broken…yet this rule burned me last year big time.
I want to pick NCfOM or TWBB, but something tells me they’re going to cancel each other out and one of the other three will waltz off with the little gold man, despite not getting an editing nod.
I was shocked by the Tommy Lee Jones nomination, which I believe Chuck and Alison point out correctly was a mixture of the Academy members liking both of his turns, finding him unable to get in for Best Supporting Actor (those five nominees have felt “locked” for a long time) for No Country and that they liked him a great deal in Elah, even if the film left them kind of cold.
Perhaps even more shocked by Blanchett being nominated for Elizabeth 2: The Golden Age. Double nominated, after such a long period of time when it seemed like she wasn’t receiving all that much love. Some critics may have become tired of her, but AMPAS still loves her, now more than ever, it seems.
I do fear a No Country/Blood “vote split,” leaving it open for, say, Juno to win. First outright comedy to win in 30 years since Annie Hall? Could it happen? (I hope not.)
Reitman’s nomination was shocking as well. No love for Sean Penn here.
American Gangster was spanked with only Ruby Dee making it in sans Art Direction, I believe. Am I wrong about this?
Norbit receiving a nomination–in a category that Sweeney Todd should have owned–is disastrous, particularly since (as someone over at H-E pointed out) Zodiac received a grand total of zero nominations.
I was suprised by Cate as well Alexander, even though many people seemed to be predicting it.
In retrospect though, not even the Elizabeth haters had anything bad to say about her performance.
Well…
People dumped all over The Golden Age. But it was vastly superior to Elizabeth, which was absolutely terrible.
TGA wasn’t good by any stretch of the imagination. However, it was gorgeous to look at, highly entertaining & possessed two award worthy performances (Clive Owen & Samantha Morton). But, realistically, kitschy fun & historical dramas are a rather perplexing mix.
Blanchett never draws me in. She’s not compelling or interesting to me – & I think there are many that are far more talented than she’ll ever be.
I’m weary of her. But apparently the Academy is not,,,,LOL
Let’s just say: Blanchett draws me in and leave it at that.
I’m in the Not category too. Are you confusing Cate Blanchett for Kate Bosworth? Cause otherwise, I have no idea what you’re talking about.
To each his/her own…
It does seem like The Cate is the feminine equivalent of The Cloon. Never count her out from here on!
Although I’m buying into this whole Cate and Cloon concept, it sure as hell didn’t help the box office, critical reception, or awards chances for The Good German. Is there some kind of matter/anti-matter thing going on where they cancel each other out?
(Note that I’ve also inadvertently tripped Craig’s Soderbergh apologist radar here…)
Oh my God, Heath Ledger is dead.