This week’s Oscar Podcast features 100% less blowjob action than last time. You can decide for yourself whether that’s a good thing or bad. The focus this week is mainly looking for meaning in the slew of critics’ awards that have come down the chute in the last week with an eye toward the upcoming Golden Globes and SAG Awards. Once again it’s Awards Daily’s Sasha Stone and Ryan Adams and yours truly plus Erik Anderson representing the AD forums. As an extra added bonus, I don’t sound like Typhoid Mary this time around.

As always you can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes. If you’re like me and don’t use iTunes, you can use this RSS link to subscribe on whatever service you use.

I don’t think my SAG predictions made it into the podcast, but here are those and my Golden Globes best picture pics as well after the jump:

SAG ENSEMBLE

  • Lincoln
  • Silver Linings
  • Les Miserables
  • Argo
  • Django

SAG ACTOR

  • Daniel Day-Lewis
  • Denzel Washington
  • Hugh Jackman
  • John Hawkes
  • Joaquin Phoenix

SAG ACTRESS

  • Quvenzhane Wallis
  • Marion Cotillard
  • Jessica Chastain
  • Jennifer Lawrence
  • Naomi Watts

SAG SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Tommy Lee Jones
  • Robert DeNiro
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman
  • Matthew McConaughey
  • Eddie Redmayne

SAG SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Anne Hathaway
  • Salley Field
  • Helen Hunt
  • Ann Dowd
  • Samantha Barks

Golden Globes Drama:

  • Lincoln
  • Zero Dark Thirty
  • Argo
  • Life of Pi
  • The Master

Golden Globes Comedy/Musical:

  • Les Miserables
  • Silver Linings Playbook
  • Moonrise Kingdom
  • Ted
  • Magic Mike

(I expect The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel will slide in for either Ted or Magic Mike)

I didn’t pick the endless Globe acting categories because it’s too much effort for too little payoff, but you can hear Sasha, Ryan and Erik’s picks in the podcast.

 

 

4 Responses to “Oscar Podcast Episode 11: Electric Critics’ Awards Boogaloo + Globes Predictions”

  1. Very sound SAG picks for sure! Not sure if I would disagree with any at this point, though I lament the absence of Weisz, who probably isn’t eleigible because the film maybe 2011.

    I’m listen to the podcast later tonight and return.

  2. Just now finished listening……..

    Looks like Eril Anderson’s Golden Globes predictions about LES MISERABLES dominating and Tom Hooper getting a Directing nomination have gone up in smoke, though like him I’m inclined to think the Oscars will be singing a different tune in early January. Sasha and teh rest of course managed to hit the mark more accurately. And always love Sasha take well-deserved pokes at the overrated SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK, a film I care very little for myself.

    This podcast was most significant for Sasha Stone’s admission that “awards are perception” and in the end have little value. That is a refreshing dead-on admission nfor one who navigates what may well be the most successful and traveled Awards site on-line. But it’s an admission that puts everything here in the proper perspective. We love following the awards from the beginning of the process, but it’s for fun and not any belief that teh results border on any kind of factual revelation. And yes, Sasha’s efforts to promote a number of films that is the end did not carrying the day at Oscars (THE SOCIAL NETWORK and THERE WILL BE BLOOD immediately come to mind) is further proof that AMPAS has a mind of their own. This is also why a film like LES MISERABLES may ultimately make it in despite the over-zealous attempts by film people/anti theater populists to deride the train. And again I have to mention that the reviews for LES MIS are NOT as bad as some seem to believe. We are now up to 76% at RT as of this morning and MC remains woefully under-represented.

    Craig as always made some fascinating points, including the telling one about voters interacting on Twitter with other film people.

    Ryan added a brilliant argument about critics impacting the Oscars (they ultimately as he says, don’t) and the whole idea of insulting voters, who may feel their space is being intruded upon. I agree that the guilds would seem to have more impact with Oscas than the various critics’ groups, but as the group broached the matter of “cumilative concensus power” should not be underestimated.

    Yes, Sasha the passion of people like Matt Goldberg (a long time LES MIS geek like myself) should not be ignored in this euation of ‘passion.’ Erik is right that some of the venomous attacks are over-the-top and tainted by a pointed agenda.

    Looks like the illustrious Mr. Kennedy made a number of excellent predictions for some of the awards with some sensible analysis.

    Enjoyed all the various critics’ award post-mortum discssion. definitely an ‘essential’ podcast!

    After the Globe results, is it possible we have a new life for the wonderful, deeply-moving LIFE OF PI? Time will tell.

  3. Sam, I have to say I’m a little surprised HFPA did not go bigger for Les Mis. Since my own opinions on it are entirely unreliable in terms of how it’s going to go over with its target audience, I’ve been looking for signs and so far, HFPA and Critics, it’s not looking great for this movie. I’m hearing really bad things from people who love the stage production. At the same time I’m hearing amazingly impassioned things from the same audience. Either way it feels like this one is going to divide its target audience and to me that doesn’t spell Winner. I still think it’s going to get a boat load of nominations, but Hooper will be excluded and Les Miz will not wind up winning BP.

  4. Craig, had HFPA included Hooper in their director shortlist I think most people would say that LES MISERABLES did quite well with the group. As it is the Best Picture (Musical or Comedy) nod kept the film aloat, especially since it could conceivably win that award over SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK. Still, I agree with you that the director snub was unexpected, and I’m sure it shocked Erik. Your argument that it “may divide it’s largest audience” is indeed a brilliant and persuasive deduction, though I’m still hoping that there are far more yay-sayers (ultimately) in that division. As to your predictions, I agree the film will snag a good number of nomination. I presently rate Hooper 50/50 on the Best Director nomination.

    As for LES MIS going all the way to win Best Picture when all is said and done? OK, I surrender on that one. It looks more and more like LINCOLN every day, though we will needa little longer to size things up more convincingly. I do love LINCOLN too. It’s one of my favorite films of the year.

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