Suraj Sharma in Ang Lee's "Life of Pi"

Oscar Podcast turns 16 this week. Once again I join Awards Daily’s Sasha Stone and Ryan Adams to shoot the awards shiz. Erik Anderson of the Awards Daily Forums makes it a round number. This episode is kind of a pre-Golden Globe quickie. First we do a little postmortem on last week’s Oscar nominations and then we launch into our Globe predictions. You can see mine below which are less what I think will happen and more a mix of wishful and defensive thinking. Suffice it to say, the Life of Pi picks are all wishful and the Silver Linings Playbook picks are all defensive.

Head over to Awards Daily to download Episode 16. As always you can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes. If you’re like me and don’t use iTunes, you can use this RSS link to subscribe on whatever service you use. Meanwhile, check out my Globe predictions after the jump.

Drama: Life of Pi

Actress – Drama: Naomi Watts, The Impossible

Actor – Drama: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Comedy/Musical: Silver Linings Playbook

Actress Comedy/Musical: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Actor Comedy/Musical: Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Supporting Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained

Director: Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Animated: Brave

Foreign Language: Amour

Screenplay: Silver Linings Playbook

Original Score: Lincoln

Song: Skyfall

 

6 Responses to “Oscar Podcast Sweet 16: Oscar Nom Aftermath and Globe Predictions”

  1. Good choices, Craig. There are often surprises but I think your acting predictions in particular seem spot on, Brave is pretty much a slam-duck in the animated category across the board as is Amour in the foreign language category. Agree with you on Life of Pi – although AMPAS wasn’t completely sold on it (I believe it got a best pic nom due to the expansion of that category but not director) I think the HFPA was.

  2. No, Craig I am not at all confident (and that goodness at vthat!) that our friend Harvey will also sway the Hollywood Press on SLP. I am predicting (and hoping) that LES MISERABLES wins Best Comedy/Musical as the vast majority of others are predicting on-line. Ditto with Hugh Jackman, who I am fairly confident will edge out Cooper for the Best Actor prize (comedy/musical).

    I do however think you are on to something with THE LIFE OF PI for a few telling reasons for the Best Drama award and I am joining you in making that prediction, though obviously both LINCOLN and ARGO are strongly in the mix here. Most are predicting a LINCOLN/Affleck split.

    Perhaps Danna can win Best Score, and I am thinking FRANKENWEENIE for Best Animated Feature.

    I love your upset special of Di Caprio and for a few key reasons I am going to join you on that call. Conventional wisdom might suggest Jones of Hoffmann, but as I say I think Di Caprio will win.

    As far as Ang Less, it is between him, Affleck and Spielberg, and if PI is the winner, they may well go with Lee. I am torn on making a prediction there, though I want Lee to win!!

    I will absolutely listen to the podcast.

  3. Predictions:

    FILM

    Drama: Lincoln (should win: Argo)
    Comedy: Silver Linings Playbook (should win: Moonrise Kingdom)
    Drama – Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis (should win: Joaquin Phoenix)
    Drama – Actress: Jessica Chastain
    Comedy – Actor: Bradley Cooper (should win: Jack Black)
    Comedy – Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
    Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz (should win: Leonardo DiCaprio)}
    Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Director: Ang Lee (should win: Ben Affleck)
    Screenplay: Django Unchained (should win: Argo)
    Original Score: Life of Pi
    Original Song: Skyfall
    Animated Film: Brave (should win: Wreck-It Ralph)
    Foreign Film: Amour (should win: Rust and Bone)

    TV:

    Drama: Homeland
    Comedy: Girls (should win: Episodes)
    Miniseries-TV Film: Game Change
    Drama – Actor: Damian Lewis
    Drama – Actress: Claire Danes
    Comedy – Actor: Don Cheadle (should win: Louis C.K.)
    Comedy Actress: Lena Dunham (should win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus)
    Miniseries-TV Film – Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch (should win: Woody Harrelson)
    Miniseries-TV Film – Actress: Julianne Moore
    Supporting Actor: Mandy Patinkin (should win: Max Greenfield)
    Supporting Actress: Maggie Smith (Why did they snubbed Christina Hendricks??)

  4. The main reason I went with Life of Pi is that I just didn’t think Lincoln would play as strongly to an international audience. Ditto Argo and Zero Dark Thirty. Of course, BAFTA proved that Brit audiences at least like those movies just fine. Still, I’m sticking with it.

    Sam I kind of hope you’re right about Les Mis even though I like SLP better. In a year with so many great movies, it would be a tragedy if SLP wins the Oscar. If it loses the Globe to Les Mis, I can worry a little less between now and then.

    Rodrigo’s a big Argo fan! I wouldn’t be upset at all if your Should Win picks came to pass.

  5. Argo is the only film I have rated 4.5/5, it’s just that damn great IMO. But I might lower my score if I give it a second watch. Also, if Alan Arkin wins tonight and then at the Oscars, he should say “to the Oscar voters, #argofuckyourself” for ignoring Affleck.

    I expect Lincoln to win, but I want Argo to win. If not, then Life of Pi should take it. Lincoln wasn’t all that great to me expect for costume, TLJ and DDL.

    Also, forgot to add this, but maybe Jeff Daniels (The Newsroom) will win because he’s the “freshman guy” of his category.

  6. Argo is strong because everyone likes it even if they don’t love it. I kind of think the same thing about SLP though too.

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