I have to admit my enthusiasm for this year’s race cooled when it became clear my pick for the best of the nominees had been swift-boated with an assist by a bunch of lefty crybabies with political axes to grind. The irony here is that Zero Dark Thirty made a stronger and more vivid case against torture than a half dozen other movies that were ever only seen by a handful of people.
So it goes. These are difficult times and people want to shut out reality and forget. Escapism has always been a strong component in the appeal of the movies so it’s really not so surprising that this will likely be the third year in a row where the voters pick not the best movie, but the best liked, least challenging movie that lets them believe everything will be ok in the end.
On the other hand, with the date changes in the voting process, this is potentially an unusual year. It’s already unusual that the current Oscar favorite failed to get its director a nomination. The point being, I won’t be surprised if weird shit goes down on Sunday night. I’m not sure if it’s just retrospective thinking, but this year feels more potentially up in the air than any in a while. I think the smart bet is still on Argo, but I don’t think I’d put money on it.
Check out my picks after the jump. Use them to influence your Oscar pools only at your own risk!
Directing: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Actress: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Adapted Screenplay: Argo
Original Screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Costume Design: Les Miserables
Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
Foreign Language Film: Amour
Animated Feature: Brave
Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserables
Production Design: Life of Pi
Sound Editing: Life of Pi
Sound Mixing: Life of Pi
Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Original Score: Argo
Original Song: “Skyfall”
Animated Short: Adam and Dog
Live Action Short: Curfew
Documentary Short: Inocente
Filed under: Predictions