“I’ve fallen and I can’t get up.”
My Oscar plans are taking shape as we speak. I haven’t decided if I’m going to go near Twitter or Facebook (probably), but assuming I have WiFi at my super secret Oscar party bunker, I think I’ll be commenting live here in this space bourbon in hand. That is of course if anyone decides to turn up. Feel free to drop on by around showtime and throw in your two cents.
I promise to try and keep my bitching to an absolute minimum, but the gloves are coming off if Russell wins Best Director goddamnit.
Feel free to amuse yourself with my predictions after the jump and throw in your own in the comments section. I’ll buy dinner for anyone who gets them all right.
Picture: Argo
Directing: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Actress: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Adapted Screenplay: Argo
Original Screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Editing: Argo
Costume Design: Les Miserables
Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
Foreign Language Film: Amour
Animated Feature: Brave
Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserables
Production Design: Life of Pi
Sound Editing: Life of Pi
Sound Mixing: Life of Pi
Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Original Score: Argo
Original Song: “Skyfall”
Animated Short: Adam and Dog
Live Action Short: Curfew
Documentary Short: Inocente
8:55 Argo. Duh
8:50 DDL Bitches
8:43: JLAW best actress. SERIOUSLY?
8:35: ANG LEE BEST DIRECTOR!!!!!
8:27 Original Screenplay: Tarantino
8:23 and well she did: Argo Adapted Screenplay
8:22 Sasha leaves the room in advance of the Adapted Screenplay winner
8:17 Song: Skyfall – DUH!
8:10 Score: Life of Pi!!!! (glad to be wrong)
8:00 Screw the Streisand haters. She’s awesome
7:49 Production Design: LINCOLN!
7:34 Editing: Argo
7:24 Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
7:15 Sound Editing: TIE! Skyfall and Zero Dark Thirty
7:13 Sound Mixing, Les Miserables (yeah that’s fair)
7:05 So is the cast of Zero Dark Thirty gonna come out and sing too? That’s not fair.
6:59 I like Jennifer Hudson and all, but enough with the Usicalmay Illerfay, thanks very much.
6:50 Foreign Language Film: Amour
6:45 Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
6:35 Documentary Short: Inocente
6:33 Live Action Short: Curfew
6:25 Shirely Bassey! Still awesome.
6:19 Makeup, Les Miserables
6:17 Costumes, Anna Karenina
6:10 Visual Effects: Life of Pi – because you had no friggin idea Richard Parker wasn’t real!
6:08 Cinematography: Life of Pi (another one)
6:00 Animated Feature: Brave (I got one right!)
5:59 Animated Short: Paperman
5:49 Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
5:36 Kirk going back in time to save the Oscars is pretty funny on paper.
5:33 Bonus points for pointing out we’ve all forgotten Jean Dujardin
5:31 Seth Macfarlane makes Tommy Lee Jones laugh in the first minute!
5:26 – OK, here we go. My goal tonight is to keep Sasha from harming herself or someone else.
Filed under: Live Blogging
Nice to see the Riva prediction.
Really going out on a limb with Russell as Director, but yeah it could definitely happen, sad to say.
I’m think it’s Spielberg and Lee neck and neck. But serious SILVER LININGS love could bring Russell to the podium.
Seems like solid predictions here!
I will be having my Oscar party on the second floor of a local firehouse. That building as it turns out is directly across the street from the elementary school where Lucille is principal and where I teach part of the week. I will run back and forth from the two buildings, so I can access a PC at the school. In that way I can add my own two cents on this live thread from time to time!
Enjoy all.
Okay, can’t resist, here are my predictions:
Picture:
Will Win: Argo (gag me with a spoon)
My Choice: Life of Pi or Zero Dark Thirty
Director:
Will Win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
My Choice: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Actress:
Will Win: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour (I think this will be the night’s big surprise)
My Choice: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Actor:
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
My Choice: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Supporting Actress:
Will Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
My Choice: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
My Choice: Phillip Seymour Hofman, The Master
Original Screenplay:
Will Win: Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty (with Michael Haneke as an upset for “Amour”)
My Choice: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
My Choice: Tony Kushner, Lincoln or David Maggee, Life of Pi
Editing:
Will Win: William Goldenberg, Argo
My Choice: Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg, Zero Dark Thirty
Cinematography:
Will Win: Claudio Miranda, Life of Pi
My Choice: Claudio Miranda, Life of Pi
Production Design:
Will Win: Life of Pi, Production Design: David Gropman; Set Decoration: Anna Pinnock
My Choice: Life of Pi, Production Design: David Gropman; Set Decoration: Anna Pinnock
Sound Mixing:
Will Win: Les Miserables, Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes
My Choice: Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes?”Life of Pi”
Sound Editing:
Will Win: Eugene Gearty and Philip Stockton, Life of Pi
My Choice: Eugene Gearty and Philip Stockton, Life of Pi
Costume Design:
Will Win: Jacqueline Durran, Anna Karenina
Original Score:
Will Win: Mychael Danna, Life of Pi
My Choice: Mychael Danna, Life of Pi
Foreign Language Film:
Will Win: Amour (Austria) (Michael Haneke)
My Choice: Amour (Austria) (Michael Haneke)
Documentary Feature:
Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man
My Choice: Searching for Sugar Man
Documentary Short:
Will Win: Mondays at Racine
Animated Feature:
Will Win: Brave
My Choice: Paranorman
Visual Effects:
Will Win: Life of Pi, Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer and Donald R. Elliott
My Choice: Life of Pi, Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer and Donald R. Elliott
Makeup:
Will Win: Peter Swords King, Rick Findlater and Tami Lane, The Hobbit
Song:
Will Win: Call me crazy, but I think Seth McFarlane will get it, so: “Everybody Needs A Best Friend” from “Ted”?Music by Walter Murphy; Lyric by Seth MacFarlane
My Choice “Skyfall” from “Skyfall”?Music and Lyric by Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth
Short Film (Animated):
Will Win: Paperman
Short Film (Live Action):
Will Win: Curfew
Dorothy, If you’re right about Director, it’ll be a great night as far as I’m concerned, whatever else happens.
Sam that sounds awesome. I’m spending the evening at Sasha’s. It could be a bloodbath. lol
Hi everyone! Not so excited about this year’s Oscars but glad to spend it with Craig and all the other LiCers. Dorothy, it’s nice to see you round these parts again. It’s been a long time.
Hey Alison, wouldn’t miss it for the world and happy to spend it among friends!
Craig: Lee winning director would make me not give a shit when Argo takes best picture.
Worst case scenario for me is SLP Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Screenplay and Editing.
Hi Alison!
Ebert changed his best pic prediction to SLP earlier today. Scary.
Craig, if that worse case scenario happens I will seriously weep.
I have to keep reminding myself I liked SLP and Argo well enough (Argo more than the former) so if they win… well… bad decision but not the end of the world. It’s not like Crash.
I liked SLP, too. It was an enjoyable movie and well-made but I never did get the hype. And as much as I like Jennifer Lawrence I’d really like to see one of the other actresses win. Nothing against her and she was good in the movie but again, I’m not seeing the same thing all the awards-givers seem to be seeing. Her performance in Winter’s Bone was really special; this was a very good performance but not special to me.
Love Lawrence, too bad they didn’t give her a character to play in the movie. She was better in Hunger Games
Still never saw Hunger Games lol.
You didn’t miss anything, though it was the rare movie that was better than the book
Ok, I can live with Waltz, though not my first pick. At least it wasn’t De Niro or Arkin
Christoph Waltz. Not surprising. Wasn’t too invested in this category though, since everyone nominated in it this year already has an Oscar.
Yeah, I can live with it, too, Craig. Would have preferred to see Jones or Seymour-Hoffman get it only because Waltz won so recently but okay.
Happy with Waltz. I thoroughly enjoyed him in “Django Unchained”.
Not surprised at Brave winning. I enjoyed it very much so I’m good with it winning.
Well… I got Brave right!
Only Hoffman deserved to win Supporting Actor. But I can live with Waltz winning instead of having TLJ or De Niro win.
Glad Paperman won.
Wreck-It Ralph or ParaNorman should have won instead of Brave, but I can live with Brave winning.
Great call, Craig! Like I said, I really enjoyed it.
5:36 Kirk going back in time to save the Oscars is pretty funny on paper.
Yeah, I was like ‘WTF’ through that whole thing.
And Cinematography! (deserved)
Yes, this movie deserved both its awards: Cinematography and Visual Effects.
Rodrigo, I’d have been thrilled with Hoffman
Anna Karenina for Costume Design.
Ok, I was high when I predicted Les MIs over Anna Karenina for Costumes
lol, the costumes in both were fantastic. Les Mis got make-up though so you were on the money there.
But I was spot on with makeup! The rotting teeth! Genius!
lmao
None of Hoffman’s opponents reaches his level.
Anna Karenina won for Costumes. Haven’t seen it yet, but I’ll wait for cable on that one.
Bond montage!
Am I the only one who actually liked Anna Karenina?
Craig, I never got around to seeing it actually.
Holy crap, Shirley Bassey!
AK, the book was better natch, but the movie was worthwhile.
Bassey was nice to watch. Thought Adele would sing right after the Bond clips, but that was a nice surprise.
I’ll definitely check it out. I actually saw a different adaptation of the book several years ago, which I enjoyed. I did want to see the latest adaptation and just never got to it.
Agreed, Rodrigo. It really was a pleasure to see Bassey again.
Wasn’t crazy about the Bond flick (except Deakins) but Adelle’s theme song was terrific.
Give yourself another point for Curfew, Craig!
And another for Inocente. :)
Shit yes! I’m on a roll
I’m 5-4 which for me is great
Yay for Searching for Sugar Man! Really enjoyed that so much.
And Sugar Man. I’m on fire.
Craig, you’ve got Make-up and Hair crossed out but you actually got that one right. It should be green.
Amour of course.
Thanks!
Also: Amour (duh)
6:59 I like Jennifer Hudson and all, but enough with the Usicalmay Illerfay, thanks very much.
lol, nope, they’ve still gotta do the Les Mis number.
Oh shit, I can’t believe they trotted out Russell Crowe.
lol, they didn’t give him a lot to do though.
I bet without that musical number the Oscars would’ve ended at 11 instead of 11:30 EST.
At least Les Mis is in the running. Chicago and Dreamgirls are old news.
I know, especially Chicago – that’s a decade old now.
Okay, did we really need the bear to make an appearance here?
And Les Mis wins Mixing. If I could’ve changed one prediction it would’ve been to that one.
Ooh, interesting to see a musical win this category. That hasn’t happened in a while. Oh, Hollywood, you are so full of surprises sometimes.
Okay, this entire segment is making me want to throw my drink at the screen.
Wow, Zero Dark Thirty got something. It’s a tie but it’s something.
This is crazy talk, a tie! Yay for ZDT (hope Pi is the other one)
How do you score ties for Oscar predictions?
Skyfall. Bleh.
If your choice won it won, even if it’s a tie, I think.
Is there a Lifetime Award winner this year?
It was a tie and I was wrong about both of them
Dorothy, I’m sure there is but I think they have a separate ceremony for that now, don’t they? For that and the humanitarian award.
Aaaand, Anne Hathaway got her Oscar!
Not my pick, but Anne earned it
I’m afraid of the idea of watching Les Miserables winning BP tonight.
Anne did earn it and I don’t begrudge her. However I wouldn’t have been disappointed if Field won. Or Weaver – that’s the one award I wouldn’t have minded going to SLP, Weaver was terrific.
Another hash mark for getting Editing right, Craig.
With the editing win, I think that seals it for Argo
I enjoyed SLP, but Weaver getting nominated is weird because she’s hardly there in the film. No complaints about Hathaway winning.
Yay for Argo finally winning something!
I was rooting for Field. Don’t worry Rodrigo, this is the path to Argo’s picture win
True, Rodrigo, but I think she sold every moment that she was there in the film, so for that I think she deserved the nomination. Field was really excellent in Lincoln so I would have been really happy to see her win, but no complaints about Hathaway at all though.
Thanks Alison, that means a shorter ceremony, yes! :-)
To the extent I’ve gotten any right at all, it’s a reflection of how predictable it is.
Yay, Lincoln won something! This one is well-deserved. The production design in this movie was fantastic.
Oh thank Christ Lincoln won something. Now I don’t have to fear for Sasha’s safety
The only award Lincoln deserved to win. I would have been okay if Lincoln won Costumes, but that didn’t happen.
I love the In Memoriam part the best
Lol Rodrigo, I still love you even though you hate one of the best movies of the year.
So happy to be wrong with Pi’s Score win
Yep. Life of Pi ended up doing fairly well in the arts/tech categories.
Soooo. the big awards left….
No way is this show ending at 11:30 EST unless they breeze through these awards.
Aaand Argo got Adapted Screenplay. That’s a wrap for that.
But I don’t hate Life of Pi. :)
I was bored with Lincoln for the most part, despite it being a well-made film. The only films I would put Lincoln ahead of in the BP race would be Beasts and maybe Les Mis (both are a tie for me).
Very happy for Tarantino! Love me some “Django Unchained.”
Ang Lee!
YES ANG LEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11
The sting of an Argo win is suddenly not that potent, long live Ang Lee!
I’m cool with Pi winning BP. If it’s not Argo, then Pi should do it. After that, everyone else is undeserving except for maybe Django.
Disappointed that DDL didn’t kiss George Clooney this time.
DDL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
DDL’s speech is awesome as usual.
Joaquin should have won instead of DDL.
Love Michelle Obama.
And it’s Argo as expected.
The inevitable Argo. Could’ve been worse.
“The inevitable Argo. Could’ve been worse.”
Lincoln, Beasts and Les Mis.
Glad Argo won, but I was expecting Pi to win and I would have been fine with that.
Thanks for live-blogging this, Craig.
Great great thread here, and congrats to Dorothy for a seemingly excellent set of predictions. Never got out of the firehouse. Too many people showed up.
Waltz and Tarantino wins were amazing. We all figured ARGO, but were saddened to see it happen even if it’s still a very fine film.
Too bad Riva didn’t win. Great to see Ang Lee take the director prize, as well as Danna and Miranda for same film – my #2 of the year.
The Lee win makes up for all the other wins I disagree with.
ABSOLUTELY!!!!
The Lee win is cause for celebration!!! A great director’s film, and a great job of directing it.
Most will now be coming to the conclusion that if Affleck wasn’t snubbed by the director’s branch, there wouldn’t be a backlash and THE LIFE OF PI would have won the top prize. We’ll never know of course.
How about that “tie”? What an unlikely occurrence!
Our pool winner wound up with 19 of 24, correctly calling Waltz, Lawrence and Lee. Two had 18 of 24. I had 16 of 24.
I’ll never get 19, that is all…